Well-known physicist Roberto Battiston, dubbed a “viral mathematician”, alerted the public to the belief that the delta mutate was no longer valid; Pointing out that there is no evidence of this, “but it is likely that this mutant is the main responsible for the hospitalizations and treatment in the intensive care units, and the deaths that we are currently witnessing.”
He said, “We are now in what looks like a confrontation against two different pandemics: one caused by the delta mutant and the second Caused by a mutant omicron cause less serious injuries; But its unprecedented speed may lead us to a virtual complete closure.”
The specialist, who for years was a consultant to World Health OrganizationAnd he is currently the coordinator of the Italian epidemiological observatory, although effectively addressing this complex stage of the health crisis requires a clear distinction between infections with both of these mutations, according to what was quoted by the newspaper “Al-Sharq al-Awsat”.
expressive
Battiston explained that The tyranny of the new mutant It does not mean that the delta mutator has disappeared or is on the way to disappearing; He pointed out that recent data indicate that Delta still causes 20% of new infections, and continues to apply in all European countries, and that it is behind most of the serious injuries and deaths. He warned that if urgent measures were not taken to enhance the capabilities of emergency departments in hospitals, health systems would collapse within a month at the latest. Because there are a large number of Europeans who have not yet received the vaccine.
The specialist stressed the risks of easing prevention measures and restrictions on movement; Arguing that the Omicron mutant does not cause serious infections, “because we are not facing one enemy; Until now”.
expressive
It should be noted that the identification of the mutant from which the infection arises is done through the genetic sequence of the virus, which is a sophisticated technique applied by European countries at a very low rate; Compared to the development of the pandemic, “we are moving in the dark, and using the same weapons against very different targets,” says Battiston, who also calls for attention to the containment of the delta mutant due to its dangerous repercussions on non-vaccinators. He cautions that a return to reopening schools would activate its validity. Especially among children, what pushes the crisis to a critical and very complex stage in terms of logistics, with the rapid and massive spread of “Omicron”.
Simultaneously, a high-ranking British expert said that the emergence of the Omicron variable may be the first ray of light “towards coexistence with Corona” as an endemic disease.
According to the British newspaper, “The Guardian”, Mike Tildesley, a member of the scientific group for Britain’s Pandemic Influenza Modeling (SPI-M), and professor of infectious diseases at the University of Warwick, said: “Omicron could be an indication that Corona may turn into a virus.” Less severe in the future is similar to a common cold.”
He continued, “We have not reached this point yet, but it is possible that the omicron variable is the first ray of light towards coexistence with corona. It is, of course, more transmissible than the delta variable, which is worrying, but it is much less dangerous.” He added, “We hope that by spring we will be able to coexist with Corona as an endemic disease and that those with weak immunity will be safe from it.”
Although many Omicron patients continue to be admitted to British hospitals, Tyldesley stressed that there is a positive side to this, which is that “the hospital stay appears to be on average shorter, and symptoms appear to be milder now.”
Britain has seen a jump in Omicron cases in the past few weeks, although the death rate is lower than during previous waves of the disease.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has so far refused to impose further restrictions to limit the spread of the virus, betting on the intensity of testing and the expansion of the vaccination campaign.
82% of Britons over the age of 12 received two doses of the vaccine, while 60% of the aforementioned group received the booster dose (35 million people).
It is reported that the Covid epidemic has killed more than 5,483,023 people worldwide. The United States is the most affected country, with 837,264 deaths, followed by Brazil (619,937), India (483,790) and Russia (316,163).
The World Health Organization estimates that the epidemic outcome could be two to three times higher than that officially recorded.
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