One of the significant Hebrew expressions issued yesterday, was reported in the newspaper «Yediot Aharonot»; In the context of an interview with the head of the Research Department in Military Intelligence, Dror Shalom, who confirmed that the chances of reaching a “peace agreement” with Lebanon are greater than they were after the agreement on negotiations between the two sides over economic waters, “but Hezbollah can thwart this possibility if He made the wrong decisions that would blow him up. ”
This “warning” issued by an intelligence figure who is considered the “national assessor” in “Israel”, expresses the will to collect interest in two directions: The first is the aspiration to the negotiations themselves as a prelude to an advanced level of Lebanese normalization with “Israel”, and even the aspiration to Treaty and peace agreement between the two sides. The second is to exploit the negotiations and harness the origin of their existence and what Tel Aviv says is the Lebanese economic need for it, with the aim of reducing the current Israeli “headache” on the borders, and Tel Aviv anticipating the promised Hezbollah response to targeting the resistance Ali Mohsen in Syria weeks ago, which keeps it busy with intelligence. And procedurally in a defensive “positioning” – regression, you are not accustomed to.
In the first aspect, in the past two days, a number of Israeli comments emerged that confirmed the intention to harness negotiations, whether the outcome was failure or success, in the ongoing Israeli battle by all means against Hezbollah, including what it calls “the battle for consciousness,” and what is meant here is the broad Lebanese public.
Repeating the phrase “direct negotiations” and raising the level of the Israeli negotiating delegation, including the participation of the head of the strategic division in the planning division in the Israeli army, in addition to the head of strategic political planning in the National Security Council (advisor to the head of the enemy’s government for foreign policy affairs), as well as an economic figure who manages The technical issue in the negotiations, and even talk about the possibility of Energy Minister Yuval Steinitz’s participation in future rounds of negotiations, all of this is a clear indication of the will to endorse the negotiation, and perhaps the will to direct it, beyond the technical dispute on the maritime borders, which by its nature is an extension of defining the line The Israeli withdrawal in 2000 under the auspices of the United Nations, known as the Blue Line.
Yesterday, the report of “Zaman Israel” newspaper appeared in the comments, which stressed that “reaching a solution to the dispute through negotiations that are to be started next week will lead to the opportunity for the Lebanese side to start exploration in an area that is likely to contain large quantities of natural gas.” This is the intent and goal in the Israeli context: “The gas fields in Lebanon have a restraining dimension. Finding gas will produce Lebanese economic dependence on this resource, which will make it a strategic asset that Israel can strike. From here, a deterrent balance (neutral) will be established, and then the Israeli exploration platforms and liquefaction facilities will not only be a strategic target, but also the facilities in Lebanon.
Tel Aviv: Hezbollah is the reason … if negotiations with Lebanon failed
Although the report shows that “Israel” will reap a security benefit by seizing the upcoming Lebanese gas facilities in the Mediterranean as a deterrent factor for Hezbollah, it recognizes in parallel that Hezbollah’s deterrence against “Israel” is present and verified and requires it to balance it, which means that Tel Aviv is seeking It aims to reinforce reciprocity of deterrence, which does not contradict Hezbollah’s defensive position.
In the same report, it appears that “Israel” begins its negotiations with Lebanon, armed with its new typists in the Gulf: the negotiations between “Israel” and Lebanon, which are supposed to start soon under American auspices, have great regional importance that goes beyond “direct negotiations” between the two parties. The enemy comes to the negotiations not as an “isolated country”, but as an ally of Egypt, the Emirates, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. With the aim of early incitement against Hezbollah, the report also states that “the Lebanese understand well the map of the new interests in the Middle East, and they will have to go a long way. It is doubtful that it will pass quietly without preventive interference from Hezbollah.”
Nevertheless, yesterday the Jerusalem Post called for refraining from exporting excessive optimism to the Israeli public, stressing that “the talks are a step in the right direction with important repercussions, but they are far from normalizing relations.”
In the end, as it appears from the samples of the declared Hebrew approach to the issue of the demarcation negotiations, Israel is running a war in more than one direction to obtain multiple benefits. The common denominator between the battles of this war is Hezbollah, which basically pushed Israel to refrain from using military force to impose its wills and control what it claims to have a water right. Likewise, he is the one who pushed it to accept the logic of negotiation that may lead to settlements, while it hopes that a solution, if reached and Lebanon has invading facilities, will reduce Hezbollah’s deterrence by threatening its invading facilities. As for the failure of the negotiations, if it happened, you will blame it on the party itself, as part of the Lebanese interior is waiting alongside Tel Aviv, to correct the resistance, as it caused the failure of the negotiations, just as it was aimed at, because it “allowed” the negotiations themselves to begin.
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