What happens to Donald Trump if he has to leave the White House and the presidency? This is a question many are asking themselves now.
“If anything is clear after this election result, it is that the president has a large following, and that he probably does not intend to resign from the stage at any time soon,” former Republican senator and Trump critic Jeff Flake told The New York Times.
On Friday afternoon, it looked like Joe Biden was heading for victory in the presidential election, but the result had not yet been clarified.
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Asking again?
Trump received the votes of 48 percent of the population, and will have a power base that neither George Bush senior nor Jimmy Carter had if he had to resign as president, writes The New York Times. Both were presidents who only sat for one term.
The newspaper writes that Trump has long toyed with the idea of starting his own TV company, and that behind closed doors he has also mentioned the idea of running again in 2024. In that case, he will be 78 years old, which Joe Biden now fills in November.
Trump has a unique platform with his Twitter account, which is followed by over 88 million people, and where he can communicate to both followers and others. Many also point out that Trump has a completely unique database of information about the supporters that will be valuable also for anyone who may want to run as a Republican candidate later.
Steve Bannon, who in 2017 was chief strategist for President Trump and was campaign manager for him in 2016, said in October that he is confident that Trump will not disappear from politics, no matter how the election goes.
“I foresee this right now: If this election is stolen for any reason (from Trump), or Joe Biden is somehow declared the winner, Trump will announce his candidacy for re-election in 2024,” Bannon told the Australian. the newspaper The Australian, according to Newsweek.
“You are not going to see the latest of Donald Trump,” Bannon said.
Mick Mulvaney, who has served as chief of staff in the White House under Trump, also says he expects Trump to run again, if he now has to leave.
“I would definitely expect the president to continue to be involved in politics, and I will definitely put him on the shortlist of people who are likely to run in 2024,” Mulvaney said in a webinar on Thursday, according to The Irish Times.
Also read: This is what Joe Biden will do as president
Great influence
Eirik Løkke, who is an adviser in the think tank Civita and has followed the American election campaign closely, also does not think we have seen the latest for Trump, if it turns out that he has to leave the White House.
– There is every reason to believe that Trump will continue to have a prominent political role. It is not unlikely that he will try again in four years, says Løkke to Dagsavisen.
In any case, Trump can get an important “kingmaker” role if the Republicans eventually find a new candidate, he believes.
– Trump can have a great influence in the party in terms of who he supports or not, if he does not run himself, Løkke believes.
If Trump has to leave the White House now, many Republican voters hope he stays in politics. In a recent poll, 38 percent of Republican voters say they believe Trump should continue in politics and try again as a presidential candidate in 2024.
34 percent of Republican voters believe he should step out of politics, but support new leaders who share his political views. Only nine percent of them think Trump should stay away from politics.
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Trump or a copy?
But which way will the Republican Party go in the next few years, if Trump is no longer president? Here the opinions are divided in the party.
“If he is beaten, the president will retain the immortal loyalty of the party’s voters and the new voters he brought into the party,” Sam Nunberg, a strategist during the 2016 campaign, told The New York Times.
– The president will continue to be a hero among Republican voters. The winner of the Republican presidential candidate battle in 2024 will either be Trump or the candidate who is most similar to him, Nunberg believes.
Others think the opposite.
– There will never be a new Trump. Copies will not succeed. He will gradually disappear, but the scars from his turbulent period in American history will never go away, said Carlos Curbelo, a former Florida Rep.
Eirik Løkke believes there will be a showdown among Republicans if Trump now has to leave the White House.
– But Trump has not lost clearly enough that people in the party want to distance themselves completely, Løkke says.
Some key Republicans have apparently distanced themselves somewhat from Trump’s outcome after the election. When Trump stated early on that he had already won the election, even though many important states were still far from finished counting, Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell stressed that it was still unclear who had won the presidential election.
– We do not know who has won the presidential election yet. We are awaiting the verdict from the American people, McConnell said.
– It is a signal that you see a complete meltdown in Trump, and that several Republicans are concerned that he will not take the party with him, Løkke believes.
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