Trump or Biden: who is better for Mexico

The presidential election that takes place this Tuesday, November 3, in the United States has repercussions abroad almost to the same degree as in the interior. And certainly the country, after the American nation itself, who is going to be the new president is his neighbor to the south: Mexico.

For starters, of the approximately 60 million Hispanics currently living in the United States, Mexicans are the majority with 36.6 million, 62%, as detailed by the Pew Research Center, one of the most prestigious centers in the US in terms of data and statistics.

Y in MexicoAccording to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi), there are about 750,000 Americans, which represents 74.4% of foreigners residing in that country. Even the US State Department estimates that one and a half million of its citizens live in Aztec lands.

Then, coupled with the immigration, security, economic and diplomatic issues, the great relevance that this electoral day has for Mexico can be explained. But who is best for you?

“The scenario is not so different: If Joe Biden wins, perhaps at first he may not pay much attention to the Mexican government. They are a bit angry (the Democrats) about López Obrador’s visit, they didn’t like the use of those images in the Trump campaign, but Joe Biden is very institutional, he is not a vengeful entity, he is not someone who loves them. charge ”, explained the international analyst Hector Diego Medina a Infobae Mexico.

It is precisely the visit that the Mexican president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, made last July to the White House – on the occasion of the T-MEC – that has aroused some concern, since then, about the possible change of governor in the States United. However, the Democrats already made it clear at that time that their anger was due to the electoral use that Trump evidently wanted to give to AMLO’s visit.

The Mexican government, in any case, has taken great care to stay out of the election; On repeated occasions, both the president and the Foreign Ministry spokesmen have declared themselves neutral in the face of the conflict and have insisted that, with whoever wins, they will seek to work together and enrich the bilateral relationship.

From the Democratic and Republican representations in Mexico, they see nothing but positive things in the relationship of their candidates with Mexico.

Lori Smith, representative democrat in that country it pointed to Infobae on the eve of election day: “For Joe Biden, the relationship with Mexico is very important, and it will continue to be ”. While on the side republican, Larry Rubin stated: “The results in the bilateral relationship have been extremely positive and Donald Trump has been very good for Mexico”.

Both approached the migration issue – one of the highest priority – although from different points.

“The migration agreement is one of the points on the bilateral agenda that has always been there, but fortunately already with the agreement between Mexico and the United States on the subject, there is a collective work being done between the two countries that is of great relevance”, Highlighted the Republican representative.

Last year Mexico agreed to become practically a “safe third country” when the caravans of migrants – most of them Central American – exceeded the capacity of the United States to retain them. Mexico gave in to avoid the tariff punishment that Trump threatened. It also deployed the National Guard to the border to prevent the arrival of migrants on US soil.

“(With Biden) tariff threats end; these issues of not respecting human rights at the border end, Now Central American people will be able to enter the United States to continue their asylum process there“Said Lori Smith.

In the latter, the Democratic representative made reference to what Joe Biden has already promised on different occasions: to eliminate the “Stay in Mexico” program – in which this country serves as a retention zone for immigrants. “There is not going to be that pressure in Mexico”.

For Medina Basave the only difference there could be to a Joe Biden win on the immigration issue – at least in the short term – is a change in tone of speech. Although it is not a detail that the analyst dismisses, considering that a more humanitarian message will fundamentally contribute to the diplomatic link.

In the economic sphere, another aspect of great relevance, Rubin highlights the T-MEC as one of the agreements that has most favored the relationship between both nations, and affirms that Donald Trump “He will be determined that this agreement works for Mexico, the United States and Canada. The only one who understands business is President Trump and not Joe Biden. “

Lori Smith, for her part, agreed on the benefits of the treaty and insisted that regarding the T-MEC, especially on the issue of labor rights and clean energy, “Nothing will change, with Biden it will stay as it is”.

What the Democratic representative did highlight is the great difference between the two candidates regarding international institutions, stating that Joe Biden’s foreign policy is committed to stability and flexibility on the subject, unlike his opponent.

And in the same sense, the columnist of Millennium, Héctor Diego Medina, warning precisely that with a Trump victory there is more risk, globally in general, in the relationship with international institutions.

“In the long term, the bilateral relationship between Mexico and the United States could be stronger with Biden than with Trump”, concluded the international analyst.

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