Monaco vs. PSG tip, prognosis & odds 20.11.

For the first time after the lost DFB Cup final at the end of May 2017 Niko Kovac will get the chance to return the favor from Thomas Tuchel next Friday. If the two coaches were still in the service of Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund at the time, they will now meet again in the French Ligue 1.

The eleventh matchday will open there on Friday evening with the encounter between Rennes and Bordeaux at 7:00 p.m. Then the top match between Monaco and PSG will take place in the Stade Louis II. According to the quotas, the guests from Paris are of course the big favorites in the game. The best bookmakers offer an average of 1.55 for the away win of the series champion and estimate the probability of occurrence at over 60%.

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Of course, the latest form at national level speaks for a success of the Tuchel-Elf. After two defeats at the start Paris St. Germain dominated the action in Ligue 1 again at will and celebrated eight wins in a row. During this period, the industry leader only conceded a single goal, but retained the upper hand in seven cases with at least two hits difference.

In this respect, there is virtually no alternative to give a prediction on the top three between Monaco and PSG. Although the Monegasque recently showed an ascending form curve, Niko Kovac’s protégés have not left the impression that they can already stand up to the star ensemble from the capital over the entire season so far.

You can read more interesting quotes about the top game in France’s top division in the betting base odds comparison.

Direct comparison / H2H balance [+ Infografik]

For exactly the 100th time, the French heavyweights face each other in a competitive game on Friday evening. With 41 victories, the men from the Principality are currently still leading the direct comparison. In the recent past, however, the pointer has mostly swung in the direction of the Parisians.

For example, the subscription champions have not lost any of their last seven league games against AS (five wins, two draws). Four of the five mentioned successes came about with at least two hits difference; Looking back on the last ten direct league duels, however, only one single victory was achieved. There was seldom a lack of spectacle, which is impressively underlined by the 27 goals from the last five encounters.

Monaco – Statistics & Current Form

Having started with the aim of leading AS Monaco back to the top of the national league, coach Niko Kovac, who took office at Monegasque in the summer, can only be partially satisfied with the season so far. In particular, the phase between the fourth and eighth matchday must be assessed very critically, as the red-whites only recorded four points from five games during this period and thus lost the connection to front runner Paris St. Germain.

Just in time for the direct duel against the French figurehead, the protégés from the principality seem to have found their way back on the road to success. Before the international break, Monaco prevailed 4-0 at home against Bordeaux and 2-1 in Nice and moved up to sixth place in the Ligue 1 table. The gap to second place is only two points.

The Monegasque are still unbeaten nationally at home

The fact that the Kovac team has hope on Friday of being able to annoy the overpowering Parisians is primarily due to the good home record of the former Champions League finalists. In the Stade Louis II, the ninth from the previous year is still unbeaten after five matches. Almost more impressive than the three successes (two draws) are the twelve goals already scored, which indicate a certain degree of offensive quality.

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In view of the decent yield in their own stadium, the returned form and the fact that the Monegasque may take the match a little more seriously than the guests in terms of a lack of double burden in the European Cup, we would go from a tip to a clear success at Monaco against PSG the favorite.

Monaco without Ben Yedder, Aguilar and Lecomte

Nevertheless, it is too risky for us to force a bet on a point win for the home side, especially since the red-whites have so far failed to prove that they can compete against top teams. Quite the opposite: “Les Rouges et blanc” suffered a violent 4-1 defeat against Olympique Lyon, revealing defensive flaws and a lack of balance between a courageous attack game and a compact defensive performance.

To make matters worse, with Defense chief and France debutant Ruben Aguilar as well as top scorer Wissam Ben Yedder (six hits) two key players will not be available. The former Bayern keeper also has to do without his regular number one Lecomte in goal. In terms of personnel, it looks extremely bleak.

Expected formation of Monaco:
Mannone; Sidibe, Disasi, Badiashile, Henrique; Tchouameni, Fofana, Diop; Martins, Volland, Jovetic

Last matches from Monaco:

PSG – Statistics & Current Form

Not only AS Monaco, Paris St. Germain is also currently struggling with major staffing concerns. For example, Moise Kean, Pablo Sarabia, Mauro Icardi, Julian Draxler and Idrissa Gueye will not be available on Friday evening. There is also a bigger question mark behind Marco Verratti’s commitment. It remains to be seen whether Marquinhos, Paredes and Di Maria will appear, who are only expected back home 48 hours before the start of the game.

Because the important Champions League match at home against RB Leipzig is already on the program on Tuesday, Thomas Tuchel will certainly not take any excessive risk and instead provide a mixed team of stars and supplementary players. This is also the reason why on Friday between Monaco and PSG the odds for a prediction on a handicap success of the guests do not give a really attractive value.

PSG with eight straight wins and 26-1 goals

From a purely statistical point of view, there is no doubt that the capitals will also win on the eleventh game day. The Tuchel-Elf has won all of the last eight league games, seven of them without conceding a goal. Overall, the series champion looks back on a goal difference of 26: 1 during this period, which impressively underpins the dominance of the star ensemble from the city of love.

Despite the listed failures and the fact that the match in the premier class probably has even higher priority, we are convinced that the quality will be sufficient to bring home a victory at the Stade Louis II. This is supported not least by the likely courageous approach of the home side, which Neymar, Mbappe and Co. will, conversely, offer some spaces in the Umschaltspiel.

Expected formation of PSG:
Navas; Dagba, Kimpembe, Diallo, Bakker; Pereira, Herrera, Rafinha; Florence, Mbappe, Neymar

Last games from PSG:

Monaco – PSG betting odds compared 11/20/2020

Statistics highlights for Monaco versus PSG

Wettbasis-Prognose & Monaco – PSG tip

Niko Kovac meets Thomas Tuchel. AS Monaco welcomes PSG. The betting odds already paint a clear picture before the kick-off. The industry leader from the French capital goes into the top game as the clear favorite and travels to the principality with the recommendation of eight national victories in a row and 26: 1 goals in this period full of self-confidence.

Even if last year’s Champions League semi-finalist had to do without some important players, the quality should be sufficient to put an equally weak home team in their place. At the Red-Whites, the failures of the best striker Ben Yedder and defender Ruben Aguilar are difficult to compensate.

Key-Facts – Monaco vs. PSG Tipp

• Monaco has to do without its best striker Ben Yedder
• Paris won eight times in a row (26-1 goals)
• In the last five duels there were 27 hits

Due to the absence of Ben Yedder and the fact that the subscription champion won seven of the last eight matches in the league without conceding a goal, even a bet on another “to zero” success of the favorite seems to be in the realm of possibility.

However, we opt for a little less risk and place our tip between Monaco and PSG on the “easy” away win of the front runner. At the tested bookmaker Unibet, we get a 1.57 at the top, which is worth a stake of a full eight units. So we trust that Paris St. Germain will land the sixth victory from the last eight direct duels against the men from the principality.

Monaco vs. PSG – best odds Ligue 1

victory Monaco: 5.25 @Bet365
Tie: 5.00 @Betfair
victory PSG: 1.57 @Unibet

Odds probabilities for win Monaco / draw / win PSG:

Monaco – PSG – Betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:

Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals: 1.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 3.40 @ Bet365

Both teams meet
JA: 1.44 @ Bet365
NO: 2.62 @ Bet365