Shape expert says Russian Camelot is overlooked as a favorite

“If I were to believe that three year olds from the Northern Hemisphere are good bets in the race, I would be supporting the Russian Camelot, who doesn’t have to prove he’s got used to or used to the Australian way of racing, which is a pretty unique experiment that I am think it will pay off, “he said.

“I’m not sure why he has $ 13.

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“Three year olds bred by the Northern Hemisphere who are elite and come for our big Group 1 race do not need an allowance. It’s the same time as the Arc, and the three year olds over time gained about a third of the Arc for a century.

“Another way of looking at his form is how would he have done in the race that Tiger Moth dominated at the last start? The Russian Camelot only competed weight-weighted in our Group 1 races in this preparation and did not race. ”Another bad race and the judgment on him was partly based on the price of the horse and it got more of him expected.

“The horse ran really, really well, just so much was expected of him that he exhausted his popularity to a certain extent.”

Beirne believes the Cox plate form will be a better guide than the Caulfield Cup for Tuesday’s race, which gives Sir Dragonet hope of scooping up Makybe Diva’s last double.

“The market has it at $ 10 and the computer has it at $ 8, so it beat the odds,” Beirne said.

“I focus more on the Cox plate shape. I hate to make generalizations, but from the two races I think the Cox plate shape … there were so many good runs in the Caulfield Cup that the computer was suspicious. ”

However, Beirne is forecasting a $ 17 chance of outperforming its price.

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“The only horse that is attractive at a reasonable price is Finche,” he said.

„“[Having twice lost in a Cup] isn’t a factor I’ve ever looked at to be honest, but Finche didn’t even race in the fall and I think that’s to his advantage and I think he’s the horse for a reasonable price.

“The Russian Camelot, Sir Dragonet and I would have Finche in third place because there I would examine the difference between my price and the public price. Those are the three horses that I would focus on. ”

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But Beirne said he wouldn’t draw a line through the favorite tiger moth.

“I’m not too worried about that [he hasn’t had an Australian start],” he said.

“It has been well proven that the older horses struggle with this. But to take a position against him, what worries me is that his true ability has been obscured by the lack of times we’ve got to see him on a racetrack, you’d be pretty brave to say Tiger Moth can’t win . ”