Between 9 and 12 systems could form in the southwestern Indian Ocean area, half of them could become tropical cyclones. The 2020-2021 hurricane season should be as active, if not a little more, than normal. Inhabited lands would be impacted.
The activity of this hurricane season will be at least equal, if not slightly higher, than the previous year, forecast forecasters from Météo France. According to them, this 2020-2021 season should see the formation of between 9 and 12 cyclonic phenomena, namely storms and cyclones, against 10 in normal times. 5 to 7 would become tropical cyclones, normal is set at 5.
Threatened inhabited lands
Systems which could originate in the east of the area, but whose trajectories would mainly orient towards the West or the South-West. Cyclonic phenomena could then threaten the inhabited lands of the western part of the basin.
The east coast of Madagascar and the coast of Mozambique would be particularly so. During the last two seasons, the trajectories of the systems were mainly oriented towards the South-East.
This season will take place under different conditions from those of the previous two years, due to the influence of the Nina, which appeared since October in the equatorial Pacific, and the return to the neutral phase of the Subtropical Ocean Dipole. Indian.
A first system ends
The first hurricane of the season, Tropical Cyclone Alicia, is now in decline. Now a strong tropical storm, it will disappear over the next few days.
Here are the names of the systems for the 2020-2021 hurricane season : ALICIA (France); BONGOYO (Tanzania); CHALANE (Lesotho); DANILO (Maurice); ELOISE (Seychelles); FARAJI (Kenya); GUAMBE (Mozambique);
HABANA (Botswana); IMAN (Maurice); JOBO (Lesotho); KANGA (South Africa); LUDZI (Malawi); MELINA (Tanzania); NATHAN (France); ONIAS (Zimbabwe); PELAGIE (Madagascar); QUAMAR (Comores); RITA (Seychelles); SOLANI (Swaziland); TARIK (Maurice); URILIA (South Africa); VUYANE (Lesotho); WAGNER (Kenya); XUSA (Malawi); YARONA (Botswana); ZACARIAS (Mozambique).
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