UN predicts that international tourism is more likely to recover in...

UN predicts that international tourism is more likely to recover in...
UN predicts that international tourism is more likely to recover in...

It’s the timeline that keeps moving, but if you were hoping international tourism would be back on the agenda by mid-2021, you could wait a few months longer.

The World Tourism Organization (WTO) announced on Tuesday that, unsurprisingly, international tourist arrivals fell 70 percent in the first eight months of 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic. But it’s predicting when that number will bounce back that makes you want to put your passport away.

While the body predicts some form of recovery won’t happen until the third quarter of 2021, citing travel restrictions related to the impending coronavirus pandemic, others may not see real movement until 2022.

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In a statement on Tuesday, the panel said the main obstacles to international travel recovery are border closings and travel restrictions, as well as the slow containment of the virus and shaky traveler confidence.

With a third wave in the US now having 8.7 million confirmed cases and Russia, France, Spain and Argentina recording a million cases, the UK is not far behind – one in five expert says 2022 will be a more accurate one Schedule for any international travel recovery event.

Last week, Qantas CEO Alan Joyce and Chairman Richard Goyder announced that Australians are unlikely to fly to the US or the UK on the airline for at least another year. Joyce pointed out a possibility “by the end of 2021”.

“Some of our major travel destinations like the US and UK will require a vaccine given the high spread of the virus in both locations,” he said at the company’s general meeting in Sydney on Friday.

“But we are becoming more and more confident about the possibilities and potential of a vaccine to get these operations going by possibly late 2021.”

While Qantas posted a loss of $ 2 billion for the 2019-20 period and the coronavirus pandemic cut full-year sales by 21 percent, the airline expected further losses of $ 100 million for the first quarter of this fiscal year.

The airline is hoping to launch new Asian routes as speculation about the formation of COVID-19 bubbles in Australia with low-case countries continues to grow – as has partially happened with New Zealand.

Last month, Prime Minister Scott Morrison suggested that international arrivals from South Korea, Japan and other Pacific countries could potentially join our Kiwi neighbors who are allowed to enter NSW, South Australia and the Northern Territory without hotel quarantine.

“Both Qantas and Jetstar are closely monitoring new markets that could open as a result of these bubbles – including locations that were not part of our pre-COVID network,” said Goyder.

“Early next year we may find that Korea, Taiwan and various islands in the Pacific are Qantas’ top travel destinations as we wait for our core international markets such as the US and UK to reopen.”

The last time international tourist arrivals saw an annual decline was in 2009 when the global economic crisis caused a 4 percent decline.

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