When will life return to normal? Experts outweigh the date...

When will life return to normal? Experts outweigh the date...
When will life return to normal? Experts outweigh the date...

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When will life return to normal? Experts weigh the date and terms, today, Saturday 17 October 2020 07:39 PM

The American newspaper “Washington Post” wondered about the possibility of returning to normal life at an imminent date in light of the increase in new confirmed cases of the Coronavirus.

She added that the increase in positive cases of Coronavirus means that the winter that is approaching will be turbulent.

On the fourth of October, for example, American academics drew a “road map” for this return to normal life, and made several proposals in the framework of what was known as the “Greent Barrington” declaration, a region in Massachusetts.

In the meeting held at the American Institute for Economic Research, academics called for protecting the most vulnerable people In reference to the elderly and those suffering from diseases in advance.

On the other hand, the academics urged the return of all other age groups to normal life, especially the youth, and they advised the opening of schools, universities, restaurants and other shops.

These academics recommended opening sports halls and holding cultural activities, in parallel with following simple rules in personal hygiene, and they added that the spread of infection among these people will most likely lead to achieving group immunity or what is known as herd immunity.

The researchers say that the virus will stop spreading when people acquire immunity to it, and this is possible by providing normal life for the healthy and protecting the most vulnerable.

Accordingly, countries that want to take this approach can allow the return of normal life from now on, that is, before any vaccine and drug for the Coronavirus, which has caused unprecedented paralysis in the world economy, is introduced.

But there are those who believe that this policy may be fraught with danger, because it is likely to lead to a new wave of infections and deaths from the Corona virus that appeared in China late last year.

In this context, researchers Martin Kilduff (Harvard University), Sonitra Gupta (Oxford University) and Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford University) argue that the right thing to do is to allow normal life for people who are less vulnerable to acquire immunity after being infected naturally.

Existing risks

According to the “Washington Post”, these academics do not answer a prominent question, which is: How many people will get sick or die as a result of applying this policy if it is approved by a particular government?

The newspaper added that what the experience of the past nine months reveals is that as soon as there is a lot of gathering in bars, restaurants or travel, the epidemic situation will worsen through the increase in injuries and deaths.

She indicated that adopting herd immunity means abandoning the current preventive measures, that is, endangering the lives of many people at this critical stage, and hospitals may be subjected to terrible pressure, so they will not be able to absorb more patients.

On the other hand, some advocate the postponement of a return to normal life until a vaccine or drug is launched for Corona, which is imminent, according to them, because many drug companies in the West are in the final stages of clinical trials, without talking about vaccines that have been declared ready, such as the vaccine Russian.

The US company “Pfizer”, for example, expected to submit an emergency use request for its vaccine at the end of next November, but the question asked by experts is about the fate of developing countries, and whether they will be much late in getting a vaccine.

In light of this “confusion” in determining a possible return to normal life, it seems that many countries in the world refuse to return to the comprehensive quarantine, due to its high cost, but at the same time they are keen to reduce or tighten restrictions, based on the development of the epidemic situation.

When the vaccine and medicine are ready, the return to normal life will be linked to the ability of each country to provide them to its citizens, and vaccination efforts will likely start from the people most vulnerable to complications from “Covid 19” and those working in vital sectors.

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