The French ambassador, Bruno Foche, did not exclude Hezbollah from his farewell visits, despite the loud speeches of Emmanuel Macron. Something to be expected on the part of the representative of the state that “crushed” its political balance towards the suburb without reaping the fruits of its move so far.
However, the farewell meeting during which the backgrounds of the fall of the French initiative were discussed by each side did not constitute a breach of the wall of the crisis that threatens, according to information, the international support conference for Lebanon if the government is not formed in the fastest time.
Governmental stalemate, which is becoming more and more a captive of international and regional equations with the approaching maturity of the American elections and monitoring the implications of cutting the bar on the border demarcation with Israel through American mediation, a weak point has entered its line that has yet to be crystallized. With the choice of a government of specialists that is vaccinated with politicians or representatives of the political forces, and it exclusively names them.
Here, a fundamental problem arises related to the extent to which international financial support is provided to a government that includes representatives or close to Hezbollah in the event of a techno-political government, and in light of a decision fully clearly announced by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah “to participate in any future government.”
And if President Najib Mikati took the initiative to present the aforementioned proposal, however, the concept of “politicizing” the government is essentially an initial proposition for the Shiite duo that the Presidency of the Republic meets with fear of a “government entity” completely out of control with the presence of a staff acting as a “machine” and not as a reformist political mind It is assumed to be the stage title. From this point, negotiations for Plan B will begin in the initiative, and this is what the French have become.
Insiders assert, in this context, that “the mechanism for managing the initiative will change, as will some conditions that were imposed previously and were not among the requirements of France.” This in itself will broaden the range of options. However, this does not mean that Mikati, the author of the proposal, may be seriously marketed as prime minister, because the internal veto on it is effective! ”
In recent days, increased activity was noticed by President Mikati in re-“reviving” previous communication links that served as keys to him with the President of the Republic, Gebran Bassil, Hezbollah, and President Nabih Berri. This comes at a time when Hariri distanced himself from the circle of adopting more heads of government. There is a recent confusion in Hariri’s ear: “You must immediately stop playing the role of the“ midwife ”of heads of government, as this has negative effects on your image and your political balance!
Those who know behind the scenes of the Sunni accounts concede that Hariri has adopted the option of Mikati. And they ask: “He abandoned Nawaf Salam, and it did not occur to him to put forward the name of Tamam Salam, who completely refuses to cooperate with President Aoun, and put Fouad Siniora on the shelf for a long time. If it was the Grand Serail’s destination? They comment: “Mikati is not an option for Hariri.”
Moreover, Mustafa Adib’s experience has undermined confidence among the members of the Heads of Government Club even more. After I arrived, before Adib’s apology, messages to this effect were sent to the designated chief from the vicinity of Mikati, warning him of the consequences of complete submission to Hariri so that he would not lose his chance to become the head of the Salvation Government.
Here, many liken Adib’s “remote” management of “Hariri” to what he did with former prime minister Samir al-Khatib, who withdrew from the race in December 2019 despite Hariri’s formal cover for him. The head of the Future Movement, in their opinion, prefers to adopt someone who forms a bridge for him again to the Serail, not someone who crosses the way back, and my timing is a possibility for those who cross the road.
As for Baabda and Hezbollah, the opinion is shared: “I have no confidence in my timing, nor is there any satisfaction with his political choices. And in the center of Hezbollah is what it describes as a “conspirator” and “the most volatile politician.”
In this context, circles close to Hezbollah refer to “the message that former presidents Amin Gemayel, Michel Suleiman, Najib Mikati, Fouad Siniora and Tamam Salam sent to the Arab summit in Amman in 2017, which greatly aroused the party’s dissatisfaction that day, and its effects are still present, and is considered a sign Black in his record, which also does not “serve” him in the street. At the top of the list is the subsidized bank loans that do not constitute a legal violation, but it is definitely an unethical step !!
In the narrow scenes, there are talks about the possibilities of Hariri’s return, linked to amendments, that will enter the French initiative, which the latter recognized as his “only reference as the last chance to stop the collapse,” in parallel with the announcement that he would not run for prime minister.
According to the information, Mikati’s choice is immature, and the internal veto is greater than the external one, at a time when the president of the republic, as well as the Shi’ite duo, is studying the possibility of talking about a government that the political parties agree upon with competent faces headed by Hariri or a name outside the club of prime ministers and benefits from “lessons” In my experience Hassan Adeeb and Mustafa Adib. And it seems that going for a name outside the “club of four” is still the most difficult, unless Hariri decides otherwise.
As for President Aoun’s reluctance to call for intentional consultations to appoint a new prime minister, this time it will not appear to be faced with a counter-campaign in light of the joint talk “about the necessity of reaching an understanding that protects authorship after the assignment.”
However, in the Republican Palace currently, there is a kind of alert due to the Corona epidemic that affected a number of daily contacts with President Aoun, prompting to take more stringent precautions, while it was confirmed, despite rumors, that neither the president nor his wife were infected with the virus. Therefore, any meetings, such as conducting consultations or routine appointments, are not available at the present time except for the duty of the three presidents to go to Kuwait on Monday to offer the duty of condolence to the late Emir of Kuwait.
Source: Media Foundation
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