The Tigers aspire to a rare AFL dynasty.
But Fox Footy experts believe Geelong is the team to beat on Saturday. Patrick Dangerfield plays a key role in his first grand finale.
Check out the All 24 Expert Premiere, Norm Smith Medal, and First Goal Tips – and the full final verdict.
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MATT BALMER (foxfooty.com.au)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 15 points – “The tigers are no stranger to the great moments and will rise again.”Norm-Smith-Medaille: Dustin Martin (Richmond)
First goal: Gary Rohan (Geelong)
DERMOTT BRERETON (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 15 points – “Fewer can go wrong with their style of play.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Shai Bolton (Richmond)
First goal: Zach Tuohy (Geelong)
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Jonathan Brown (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 2 points – “Federer versus Nadal – it was a difficult question. I’ve been going back and forth, but I chose Geelong. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goal: Tom Hawkins (Geelong)
NICK DAL SANTO (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 17 points – “Goalkicking accuracy will be the difference.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Bachar Houli (Richmond)
First goal: Shai Bolton (Richmond)
Tigers will be fine in the rain
1:14
BEN DIXON (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond down 25 points – “Because of their system, which has been proven over the past four years, and their speed when they are on. And they love the big stage. Geelong hasn’t been there in a while and this is where Richmond has an advantage. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Dion Prestia (Richmond)
First goal: Dustin Martin (Richmond)
JASON DUNSTALL (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 10 points – “I just love your system and I think it’s under all pressure.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Shane Edwards (Richmond)
First goal: Tom Hawkins (Geelong)
GERARD HEALY (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 12 points – “The cats are number 3 for the difference between the indoor spaces in 2020 – and it could well be the difference on Saturday.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goal: Shai Bolton (Richmond)
BRAD JOHNSON (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 15 points – “The Gabba record this season was excellent. They were the most composed and controlled team throughout the season, with hubs and all the challenges they could handle. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Tom Hawkins (Geelong)
First goal: Gary Ablett (Geelong)
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DREW JONES (Fox Sports News)
Winner and lead: Geelong by 8 points – “The gods on foot will leave the tigers, this is Geelong’s year.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Mitch Duncan (Geelong)
First goal: Gryan Miers (Geelong)
SARAH JONES (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 7 points – “I would like to see Joel Selwood captain a Premiership team and Gary Ablett knock out with a different flag.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goal: Tom Hawkins (Geelong)

Farewell Gary Ablett Jnr
4:44
DAVID KING (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong down 12 points – “In a year of great stories – 2020 was incredible – let’s hope Gary Ablett gets to the ultimate point and I hope Patrick Dangerfield wins the Norm Smith.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goalkicker: Rhys Stanley (Geelong)
KATH LOUGHNAN (Fox Sports News / Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 14 points – “The tigers’ manic pressure and desire to cement their legacy will have them win a third flag in four years.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Dustin Martin (Richmond)
First goal: Daniel Rioli (Richmond)
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MAX LAUGH (foxfooty.com.au and back-to-back Fox Footy Tipping Contest winners)
Winner and lead: Richmond by 16 points – “These have been the best two teams for almost two years, but to be the man you still have to beat the man – and I haven’t seen the cats. Also, as a Geelong fan, there was no way I could tempt fate by tipping them. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Dustin Martin (Richmond)
First goal: Jack Riewoldt (Richmond)
ALASTAIR LYNCH (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 13 points – “They are a big, strong team with a number of match winners ready to go.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goal: Tom Lynch (Richmond)
GARRY LYON (Fox Footy)
Winner and lead: Geelong by 2 points – “Your attack is more dangerous (since lap 17) when Ablett comes back and Rohan is in much better shape and Dangerfield is spending more time there. The flow-on effect is that Hawkins sees it better. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Tom Hawkins (Geelong)
First goal: Sam Simpson (Geelong)
CAMERON MOONEY (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 12 points – “God loves Geelong more than Richmond.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Tom Stewart (Geelong)
First goal: Gary Ablett (Geelong)

Business stop Dustin Martin
1:16
LEIGH MONTAGNA (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 11 points – “The cats have a sense of timing, a sense of fate. I think it’s the last dance – Gary Ablett Junior, Harry Taylor, maybe a few others – their last big hit at winning a flag. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Cam Guthrie (Geelong)
First goal: Gary Rohan (Geelong)
TOM MORRIS (Senior) foxfooty.com.au Reporter)
Winner and lead: Richmond down 26 points – “In big games, it’s hard to hold your own against them, especially when it’s wet. And they destroyed Geelong in the home and away seasons. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Dustin Martin (Richmond)
First goal: Dustin Martin (Richmond)
BOB MURPHY (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 6 points (in overtime) – “I hesitate to tip anyone because I was so sad to tip winners this year. Wouldn’t a tie round off the year? Yes it would. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Mitch Duncan (Geelong)
First goal: Zach Tuohy (Geelong)
SARAH OLLE (Fox Sports News / Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Geelong by 10 points – “This is really a coin toss. My head says it is dynasty time for the tigers, but my heart says that fate will triumph with Geelong. ”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Mitch Duncan (Geelong)
First goal: Jack Riewoldt (Richmond)

Dusty’s place in tiger sizes
1:35
NICK RIEWOLDT (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 7 points – “The more hectic and under pressure the game gets, the better it suits the Tigers.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Shai Bolton (Richmond)
First goal: Jack Riewoldt (Richmond)
KELLI UNDERWOOD (Fox Footy)
Winner and advantage: Richmond by 21 points – “They don’t rely on their superstars as much as the Cats and are better in damp and wet conditions.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Bachar Houli (Richmond)
First goalkicker: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
BEN WATERWORTH (foxfooty.com.au)
Winner and advantage: Geelong at 18 – “The cats will be too good at the coal mine – and there is a risk that the striker will have a grand finale to remember.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
DAVID ZITA (foxfooty.com.au)
Winner and lead: Geelong by 8 points – “The cats are in better shape and cannot overcome the fairytale ending for Gaz.”
Norm-Smith-Medaille: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
First goal: Dustin Martin (Richmond)

Lynch responds to his critics
1:59
FINAL JUDGMENT
First
14 – Geelong
10 – Richmond
Norm-Smith-Medaille
7 – Patrick Dangerfield
4 – Dustin Martin
3 – Mitch Duncan
2 – Shai Bolton, Tom Hawkins and Bachar Houli
1 – Shane Edwards, Cam Guthrie, Dion Prestia and Tom Stewart
First goal
3 – Tom Hawkins, Jack Riewoldt und Dustin Martin
2 – Gary Ablett, Shai Bolton, Patrick Dangerfield, Gary Rohan und Zach Tuohy
1 – Tom Lynch, Gryan Miers, Daniel Rioli, Sam Simpson und Rhys Stanley
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