It is regularly asserted that the Democratic Party is the party of introspection and family bickering, just as the Republican Party is often presented as the party of victory at all costs.
Despite the superficiality of these labels, there is a significant amount of truth. Since 2015, the GOP has quickly integrated supporters of Donald Trump because the Trumpists assured them victory in several regions and they allowed to stretch to the maximum a white and conservative electorate.
Trumpism served Republican interests
Mitch McConnell and the Republican leaders have never been fooled. All of them knew the New York billionaire’s clientele, just as they knew the nature of man.
The Republican Senate leader got what he wanted from the president despite the ongoing chaos in the White House. But the tax cuts and the three Supreme Court appointments came at a high price: party division and the mobilization of extremist factions.
While party leaders now view Trump’s departure or even impeachment positively, pushing aside his supporters or getting them to side with another leader is a colossal challenge.
- Listen to Luc Laliberté’s column at Richard Martineau’s microphone on QUB radio:
Condemned to cohabitation?
Although there are currently three times as many soldiers to protect the Capitol and elected officials than soldiers on the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan, 46% of all Republicans question the results of the election and 92 % of the president’s supporters want him to be a candidate in 2024. It is not the Josh Hawleys or Ted Cruz who will be able to recover these voters, they only listen to Donald Trump.
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The Republican Party is deeply divided and only 56% of its members define themselves as “traditional”, just over half condemning Donald Trump’s actions and wanting him to disappear from the political landscape.
To rebuild a “virginity” or wash away Trumpist stains, the GOP could consider a split. Without being theoretically impossible, the option is not viable if we rely on past experiences.
Political movements are born regularly in the United States, but they quickly cling to a big party or be taken over. Recent examples from the Tea Party or Bernie Sanders speak for themselves.
If they influence the platforms of the major parties, movements like Trumpism have little chance of coming to power on their own and they only help to divide the vote. We can cite the cases of Woodrow Wilson (1912) or Bill Clinton (1992) to support the demonstration, each of these Democratic presidents having benefited from the division of the Republican opposition.
For better, the 2016 election, and for worse, the 2020 one, Republicans favored victory over values or introspection. Demographic change, the democratic victories in Arizona and Georgia now place the political formation at a crossroads.
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