The fear of such a legal battle was heightened this morning by the two candidates, who each declared that he-he was on his way to the White House. Joe Biden appeared in Delaware and said, “We’re on the road to victory, be patient.” A minute later, President Trump tweeted: “We are leading big, they are trying to steal the election.” In another tweet he wrote: “I will make a statement. A great victory!”.
If the election decision does drain to Pennsylvania, it could be delayed. The reason for the expected delays in Pennsylvania is postal voting: In the US, voters are given the option to cast their ballots by mail, not by ballot, and in the shadow of the corona plague and the desire to avoid ballots, this option has been greatly expanded this year. In the US the preparation of their envelopes for AD began long days ago, in Pennsylvania they are prepared for AD only on the official election day, so the procedure only started tonight. Officials there will now be required for some time to count those votes, and if their country has the choice of election, the whole of America will wait.
In addition, Pennsylvania law requires election officials to also count votes that arrive in the mail up to three days after Election Day if the stamp proves they were sent before Election Day. Trump, who knows that most of the votes cast in the mail are likely to be democratic, and therefore counting such votes will hurt his chances, has already announced that he intends to fight it legally and prevent the late count there. Such a legal battle can last for weeks, and drag on until the Supreme Court.
Some of the victories Trump achieved tonight in key countries are quite impressive. In Texas (38 electors), a state that this time predicted a very close battle, Trump leads by a gap of 5.7% after counting 88% of the vote, and as mentioned “Fox News” has already announced its victory there. In Ohio, where his victory has already been announced, he is marching towards the end of the count with an advantage of more than 8%. In North Carolina (15), Trump leads 1.4% after counting 95% of the vote, and the New York Times estimates that with a 95% probability he will win in this state as well.
Although Trump’s situation seems to be getting better as the night goes on, Biden can draw encouragement from what’s happening in Arizona: after counting 75% of the vote there, he’s leading by 8.6%, and Fox News has already announced his victory there. Assuming Arizona is indeed in Biden’s pocket, his status improves, because in that case as long as he wins in Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota, where the polls predicted a victory by a fair margin, a victory in Nevada (6 electors) will be enough for him to reach the 270 electors needed to win. This morning, shortly after 7 p.m., Fox News announced that he had already won in Minnesota.
In a surprising line, it may appear that Baiden from Georgia, a country that is traditionally considered a Republican stronghold but this time the polls predicted a close battle. Throughout the night, it appeared that Trump was marching in a nice lead and that he was close to victory, but the New York Times, which evaluates the data flowing from the polls there, already this morning gives Biden a relatively high chance, of 62%, of winning there. If Biden rakes in Georgia’s 16 electors, it will be a very big step for him towards victory.
According to US networks, it can already be determined that Trump won in Indiana (11 electors), Tennessee (11), Missouri (10), South Carolina (9), Alabama (9), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Oklahoma ( 7), Mississippi (6), Kansas (6), Arkansas (6), Utah (6), West Virginia (5), Nebraska (4), Idaho (4), Wyoming (3), North Dakota (3) ), Montana (3) and South Dakota (3) Biden won as expected in California (55), New York (29), Illinois (20), New Jersey (14), Virginia (13), Washington (12) , Vermont (3), Massachusetts (11), Maryland (10), Colorado (9), Oregon (7), Connecticut (7), New Mexico (5), Rhode Island (4), Hawaii (4), New Hampshire (4), Maine (3), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3) and Nebraska (1).
In the US, it will be recalled, the person who is elected president is the candidate who wins the most Electors, And not necessarily the one that wins the majority of the vote: formally the president is not elected by the people, but by the “Electoral Fellowship”, a special body that convenes to vote on the identity of the president after the election. Each of the 50 states in the United States (as well as the capital of Washington) is assigned a certain number of electors, that is, representatives in this body, according to its population size (e.g., California with a population of 55, and sparse Alaska with only 3). All its electors.Because there are a total of 538 electors, whoever achieves 270 (i.e. more than half) – wins.
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