There are only a few hours before the Americans finally vote to choose their next leader.
Here are some key pointers on what to expect from one of the most important voices in recent history when it comes to polls – and the betting shops.
WHAT DO THE POLLING SAY?
At the last minute there were a number of last minute polls Des Moines Register One poll found that Mr Trump beat Mr Biden by 48 percent to 41 percent – a massive change from his previous poll which left the race a tie.
Next we have a poll from New Mexico Das Albuquerque JournalThis shows that Mr Biden wins 54-42, which is in line with conventional wisdom that New Mexico is a little too democratic these days to be considered a proper swing state.
The latest batch of New York Times/ Siena surveys cover four different states. These polls show that Mr. Biden is 49-43 in Arizona, 52-41 in Wisconsin, 47-44 in Florida, and 49-43 in Pennsylvania.
An EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan put the Democrat at 48-41. Another, led by St. Pete, shows how he wins Florida by a wafer-thin margin of 49:48. And finally some ABC News /Washington Post Polls won Mr. Biden 51-44 in Pennsylvania, but Mr. Trump Florida won 50-48.
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WHAT ARE THE ODDS?
Right now, Democratic hopefuls Joe Biden is the clear favorite among the major betting sites.
In the final days leading up to the election, Mr Biden’s chances have narrowed slightly as Betfair has him up for grabs at $ 1.51.
As his lead diminishes, many believe that betting odds offer a more accurate election prediction than polls because people have invested their own hard-earned money in the outcome.
According to OddsShark’s 2020 presidential election betting odds tracker, Donald Trump was the favorite in July 2019 – but now “Biden is a -175 favorite to win the 2020 US presidential election, with Trump coming back at +145.”
These are the odds of some major betting shops starting November 2nd.
Basically, this means that for every $ 1 you wager on that candidate, you will get the consideration below if they win.
TAB
• Biden: 1,57 USD
• Trump: 2,45 USD
LADBROKES
• Biden: 1,50 USD
• Trump: 2,70 USD
BETFAIR
• Biden: 1,51 USD
• Trump: 2,98 USD
SPORTBET
• Biden: 1,50 USD
• Trump: 2,75 USD
NEDS
• Biden: 1,50 USD
• Trump: 2,70 USD
PUNTER’S STUNNING $ 130K GAMBLE
A record number of bets have already been placed on the US elections – but a cocky TAB punter shocked the betting pros by betting $ 130,000 on a Biden win.
The nameless player bet on a staggering pile of cash this week at odds of $ 1.57.
Other big bets recently are $ 100,000 at $ 1.56 with Joe Biden and $ 40,000 at $ 2.50 with Donald Trump.
While the odds are clearly in favor of the Democratic candidate, a whopping 65 percent of the money invested in the market has gone Mr. Trump’s path.
There is so much interest in the US elections that TAB will hold onto them more than the AFL or NRL finals.
DIFFERENT BETS YOU CAN MAKE
All eyes are on the big guy – whether it’s Joe Biden or Donald Trump in the White House for the next four years.
But there are a number of other bets on the table as well, including the number of electoral college votes each candidate will receive who wins the referendum, state electoral college winner, state margin, seating margin, U.S. Senate winner and many other more.
For example, Mr. Trump pays $ 4.50 to win the referendum, compared to Mr. Biden’s $ 1.18 (the candidate who received the most votes in all of America).
In 2016, Ms. Clinton won the referendum but still lost the election.
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ODDS BEFORE THE 2016 ELECTION
When Donald Trump ran against Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election, it wasn’t just the pollsters who got the result disastrously wrong – the bookmakers also falsely predicted a Clinton win.
In fact, Irish bookmaker Paddy Power failed so spectacularly that it landed a £ 4 million ($ 7,399,793) bill after prematurely paying out £ 800,000 ($ 1,479,958) to those who helped Hillary Clinton before Donald Trump’s shock victory.
According to OddsShark, Mr Trump’s chances of winning the 2016 election were 5 to 1 on the eve of Election Day, and TAB’s Mr Trump was $ 2.35 before markets closed ahead of the 2016 election.
HOW TO BET
Political election betting is very illegal in all 50 states.
However, the same rules do not apply in other countries. This means that betting shops based in Australia, the UK and other countries are open to business. Most companies allow players to place a bet online.
According to Fortune, gambling insiders expect the previous record from 2016 to be broken again this year. Some bookmakers expect the choice in betting to be even bigger than the Super Bowl.
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