It shows the overview of the US Elections Project on Thursday. Almost 52 million are postal votes, while over 28 million of the pre-voters have turned up physically.
Most advance votes have entered California (8.5 million), Texas (8.4 million) and Florida (7.4 million).
– This is about Donald Trump. It is to a lesser extent a choice about Joe Biden. It is first and foremost a referendum on Trump on both sides, says Eirik Løkke, who is an adviser to Civita and an expert on American politics.
Urix explains:
New polls: Trump has more than halved Biden’s Florida leadership
HECTIC PROGRAM: President Donald Trump with Melania Trump during an election rally in Tampa.
Photo: Jonathan Ernst / Reuters
Tracks record attendance
Professor Michael McDonald at the University of Florida administers the US Election Project, and he believes the many preliminary votes indicate a high turnout for the election, according to The Guardian.
McDonald’s predicts that 150 million Americans will vote this year.
Then the turnout will reach 65 percent. There has not been such high support in a US presidential election since 1908.
The òg:
Advance polls suggest the United States may have its highest turnout since 1908
– It is the Democrats who serve on this, says Eirik Løkke.
He thinks it is first and foremost democrats who are now standing in line leading the polling station.
– Democrats have urged voters to vote early to make sure the votes are counted this year.
The corona pandemic and the fear of chaos and long queues at the polling station on election day, and also threats from various militia groups that they will show up outside the polling station, are also highlighted as some of the reasons for the high turnout in advance.
Important voices
Preliminary votes could also be very decisive in North Carolina and Pennsylvania in this year’s election.
The US Supreme Court will allow the electoral authorities in these tipping states to receive and count ballot papers delivered by post for several days after the election, writes NTB.
ELECTION INQUIRY: Joe Biden during an election meeting on Thursday.
Photo: Andrew Harnik / AP
The Supreme Court bases its decision on possible delays with the US Postal Service.
North Carolina is one of several potentially important swing states in the presidential election.
On the website FiveThirtyEight’s compilation of opinion polls for the state, Joe Biden has challenged a 2.1 percentage point lead over President Donald Trump.
– Trump was behind the opinion polls also in the previous election, but still won. Can’t the same thing happen again?
– There is a significant difference. Then he faced Hillary Clinton, who was more unpopular. Trump was also a more undescribed magazine. Now the voters know what he stands for, comments Løkke.
3. november chooses the United States between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Here you will find out what they stand for, who they are and the most important topics for the election in 2020.
Joe Biden (77 years) Barack Obama’s Vice President from 2008 to 2016. Senator. The oldest presidential candidate in US history.
Donald Trump (74 years) Current President of the United States. Businessman, billionaire and reality celebrity. Won against Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Biden
Obama’s Vice President. Long career in American politics, a famous face and popular vice president. High support among minority voters.
Trump
Sitting presidents poses strongly. The US economy did very well before the corona pandemic, has very loyal and enthusiastic voters.
Biden
Will be America’s oldest president ever, if he wins. May appear undisciplined in debates. Long career in the Senate where he has supported policies that are seen by many as wrong today.
Trump
Low support among minority voters and women. Often repeats untrue claims. Gets criticism for handling the corona pandemic and the protests against racism and police violence.
Biden
Kamala Harris (55)
Wanted to be the Democrats’ presidential candidate. Withdrew in December last year and stood behind Joe Biden in March. Former California Attorney General.
Trump
Mike Pence (61)
Hosted Donald Trump’s Vice President for four years. Christian conservative and popular with religious voters. Former governor of Indiana.
Biden:
Biden calls the climate crisis the biggest threat to US security and has drawn up a national plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Biden will rejoin the United States in the international climate agreement. He has supported the controversial extraction of oil and gas through so-called fracking.
Trump:
Trump says he doubts whether climate change is man-made. He has removed a number of environmental requirements and regulations as president. Wants more production of coal and oil in the US.
Biden:
Biden has criticized Trump’s response to the pandemic, calling it “deliberate misinformation.” Will expand health services and do testing for free. Do not want a public health service for all Americans.
Trump:
Quickly closed US borders to China and Europe, but also claimed that the spread of Covid-19 was under control in the US. Even refused for a long time to wear a mask. Do not want a public health service for all Americans.
Biden:
Biden calls himself a champion of the American middle class. He will provide more crisis packages to stimulate new and green jobs and combat economic inequality. Will revert parts of Trump’s tax cuts.
Trump:
Trump has introduced major tax cuts, and aims to remove as many government regulations as possible. Has signed a historically large economic crisis package during the corona pandemic and advocated reopening the economy quickly.
Biden:
Will focus on better education and recruitment of police officers, and increase the proportion of minorities in the US police force. Will ban the death penalty and wants reform of the US legal and prison system.
Biden promises that his government will reflect the people of the United States.
Trump:
Put the military against protesters during the protests against racist police violence. Has signed a law that allows for police reform and which, among other things, prohibits the use of strangulation. Wants reform of the US legal and prison system. Supports the death penalty.
Has few employees with a minority background.
Biden:
Will expand the current health insurance scheme with a new, state insurance offer. Undocumented immigrants can also buy such insurance. Will reintroduce the penalty scheme for not having insurance, which Trump abolished. Says he will introduce price regulation on medicines and open to buy prescription medicines cheaper abroad.
Trump:
Trump and the Republicans have tried to abolish Obama’s health insurance reform (“Obamacare”), but it stalled due to internal disagreement. He has promised to present a new health reform many times, most recently in August. Among other things, Trump will cut federal support for the state’s health program for Americans below a certain income level (Medicaid). It will also affect children in poor families.
Biden:
Joe Biden believes global institutions are necessary and want an active United States in the world. Wants active US diplomacy and military policy in the Middle East. Will sign the United States into all the international agreements Trump has pulled the country out of. Will bring most American soldiers in Afghanistan home.
Trump:
Trump has withdrawn the United States from a number of international agreements such as the climate agreement, the Iran agreement and the World Health Organization (WHO). Builds the US military. Has cultivated a good relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin, but gave in to pressure from Congress to extend sanctions against Russia. Has a confrontational tone with China.
Biden:
Supports immigration reforms, calling Trump’s approach racist. Will halt the construction of a wall against Mexico and reverse the entry ban from several Muslim countries, which Trump introduced in 2016.
Trump:
Has built a 426 kilometer long wall, towards the border with Mexico, mostly reinforcements of former fences. Will have a reduction in all types of immigration, introduced a travel ban from several Muslim countries and made it more difficult to get work permits and green cards.
Biden:
Has been a long-time supporter of international trade agreements, and believes the United States should lead in new negotiations on international trade rules.
Trump:
Believes several global trade agreements have been rigged against US interests and have canceled several of them. Blames the agreements for large deficits, smaller US production and increased unemployment.
Biden:
Calls cyber threats an increasing challenge to US security and democracy. Believes technology companies need to change practices around privacy, surveillance and hate speech. Have not decided whether the big companies should be split up to reduce the power they have.
Trump:
Has claimed that the big technology companies are conspiring for him to lose the presidential election, has signed a presidential order that gives them responsibility for the content on the platforms. Will ban Chinese Tik Tok in the US.
Biden:
Will raise the minimum wage in the United States from $ 7.25 an hour to $ 15 an hour.
Believes labor rights and bargaining power need to be strengthened, but this promise fell on the list when he was Obama’s vice president.
Trump:
Calling himself a working billionaire. Does not support increased minimum wage or unions. Would rather cut taxes than raise the minimum wage.
This is how the electoral system works
The tipping states decide the choice
A tipping state is a state that has no clear democratic or republican majority. It is these states that in practice decide the election.
Assumed tipping states in this year’s presidential election:
- Rather towards Biden
- Rather against Trump
- Evenly
Number of electors
The list of tipping states is based on the election results in recent years and updated opinion polls.
Glossary for the presidential election
Because of the corona pandemic, many millions of Americans will vote by mail. Completed ballot papers must then either be sent by regular mail, or delivered in secured envelopes. 180 million Americans will be able to vote by mail. The question is whether the US postal system will be able to handle the many votes.
Although the names of Donald Trump and Joe Biden are on the ballot, American voters are voting electors. They are the ones who elect the president. A total of 538 voters will be elected. A candidate needs 270 voters to get a majority – and thus win the presidential election. The number of electors depends on the number of members of Congress, as determined by the population of the state, as well as the number of senators, with each state having two representatives. Therefore, it is possible to win the election without having a majority of voters behind you, as Trump did in 2016.
The rust belt is often used to describe regions in the United States that once lived well off industry, but are now characterized by unemployment, poverty and emigration. The area runs from the northeast of the United States to the north of the Midwest. The rust belt runs through key swing states such as Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan, which Donald Trump won in 2016.
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