This goal may be difficult to achieve at a time when some party loyalists are distancing themselves from the president and his handling of the Covid-19 crisis, while the Democrats are organizing powerful campaigns in states that are crucial to the election outcome.
Trump’s first debate in which he faced his Democratic opponent, Joe Biden, during which the president refused to condemn the nationalist tendencies of a slice of white, in addition to his controversial move to nominate a new female judge to take a seat on the Supreme Court with the approaching polling date, exacerbated the pressure on Republicans who intend to run in elections on a large scale Smaller.
Among the Republican figures facing difficulties is Senator Lindsey Graham, as he presides over hearings to confirm Trump’s Supreme Court nominee Amy Connie Barrett, and Graham is fighting for his political career in South Carolina against an unexpectedly heavily funded opponent.
Republicans have a majority of 53 seats in the Senate compared to 47, but they lag behind in 4 electoral races for seats controlled by the Republicans, while they do not appear to be in a good position in races with unknown results in 5 other states.
If the Democrats win 3 seats and the White House in the November 3 elections, the party will win the Senate, while Vice President Kamala Harris will have the final say in the event of a tie (50 to 50).
Late Tuesday, Senator Chris Coons of Delaware, a close ally of Biden, said, “I feel optimistic” about the Democrats ’chances, adding,“ I think if the elections are held today, the Democrats will take control of the Senate. ”
The statistical analysis site FiveTirty8.com noted that the Democrats ’chances of restoring the Senate are 68 out of 100.
Even conservative Senator Ted Cruz, loyal to Trump, warned on national television that Republicans could face “Watergate massacre” this coming November.
As for Texas Senator John Cornyn, who is fighting a tougher battle than expected for re-election, he refrained from saying that Republicans who are facing difficulties should abandon Trump in order not to cause their defeat.
“He is very popular in some of these states, so I think that would be a bad decision,” Cornin said, but refused to clarify if the president was supporting him in Texas, noting that he hoped “I would be doing better than in the state.”
to the left
The most likely to lose his seat is Democrat Doug Jones in conservative Alabama, and with the exception of him, the Democrats expect to gain.
Arizona, Colorado and Maine are the three states that have tended to Democrats for months, and Republicans fear the president will harm them.
Arizona Senators Martha Maxali and Colorado Senator Corey Gardner were asked in recent debates with their Democratic rivals if they were proud of their support for Trump, and both avoided answering.
“I feel honored to fight for Arizona every day,” said Maxali, a retired military pilot who traps astronaut Mark Kelly by eight points in the polls.
Susan Collins of Maine, the state that voted along the lines of Colorado for President Hillary Clinton’s rival in 2016, recently stood up to the president by opposing his attempt to push his candidate to the Supreme Court shortly before the election.
But Sarah Gideon, the speaker of the Democratic Maine Parliament who rivals Collins, topped nearly every major poll in the state this year.
North Carolina is also leaning to the left, with Republican Tom Tillis, who, like Trump, was recently infected with the new Corona virus, lost 4.3 points in the polls to Cal Cunningham.
This came despite a scandal of sexual text messages acknowledged by Cunningham.
Several elections with unknown results
The Senate map for 2020 has always shown the Democrats ‘preference, as they defend 12 seats to the Republicans’ 23.
But today even states such as Iowa, Georgia, South Carolina and Montana appear to have unknown results, in an exceptional development for the Democrats.
Other seats may enter the race, including Texas, Alaska and Kansas, and even Republican Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s seat in Kentucky.
In South Carolina, Graham appears to be facing a dual political problem. He finds himself among his loyalty to Trump and his retreat from his pledge not to proceed with the nomination of a Supreme Court judge during the election year.
“As far as how this affects the election, we’ll know over time,” Graham said Tuesday.
But he ignored indications that his administration of the confirmation process could cost him his seat in the Senate.
He insisted, “This isn’t even a far-fetched idea for me, trust me, I know South Carolina, Amy Barrett is a good fit for South Carolina.”
Meanwhile, his opponent Jim Harrison leads. The Democrat announced that he raised $ 57 million in the third quarter of the year, smashing the previous quarterly amount for any US Senate candidate.
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