England is scheduled for Sunday in Leuven, Denmark will follow on Wednesday. The Red Devils have everything in their own hands and may not even need a win to qualify for the Final Four.
To understand this, it is worth taking a look at UEFA’s regulations regarding the Nations League. This stipulates that in the event of an equal number of points between two or more teams, the number of points scored by the teams in question is first looked at and then the goal difference between those teams in question.
Belgium currently has 9 points, England and Denmark follow with 7 points. If the Red Devils would draw against both countries and England and Denmark would win against the still scoreless Iceland? Then all three teams come to 11 points, of which 5 points among the three teams in question.
Goal difference
Currently, the Devils have a positive goal difference (3 goals scored, 2 goals against) in the matches against England and Denmark. That would of course remain the case with two draws. And so England (2-2) and Denmark (1-2) can never cope with them.
With a 6 out of 6 or a 4 out of 6, the Red Devils would always be qualified for the final of the Nations League, with a 2 out of 6 it is important to be careful that Denmark definitely beats Iceland – otherwise we would be on the basis of the mutual duels against England still have to let the group win.
A win and a loss could be even worse for the Devils, because the team we lose against with a 6 out of 6 always comes above us. And with 1 in 6 we are almost always disabled, with a 0 out of 6 we are even 100% sure.
Other groups
In group 1, Poland is in the lead, with one point more than Italy and two more than the Netherlands. Italy – Poland could be decisive, but the Netherlands has not yet been eliminated. They no longer have it in their own hands anyway. With a 6 out of 6, they would do a fine thing if Italy doesn’t do the same.
In group 3 it can be done between Portugal and France. Both teams have collected 10 out of 12, so the game on Saturday in Portugal is decisive if there is a winner. Otherwise, it may still come to goal difference.
Finally, Group 4 could be Spain (7 points) – Germany (6 points) on the final matchday, although a laughing third in the form of Ukraine (6 points) may not be erased here either. They have to pick up something in Germany to get started.
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